Alaves vs Mallorca Prediction Apr 25 2026 — La Liga

While the bookmakers lean slightly toward an Alaves home win, current form strongly favors the visitors. Mallorca’s tactical discipline under Demichelis, paired with Muriqi’s record-breaking confidence, provides clear betting value against the home side's inconsistency.

Match Preview & Form Guide

As we approach this pivotal La Liga clash at the Estadio de Mendizorroza on April 25, 2026, the stakes could not be higher for both sides. Alaves, currently sitting 17th and hovering just one point outside the relegation zone, are desperate for points to secure their top-flight status. Under new manager Quique Sánchez Flores, appointed in March 2026, the team has shown signs of tactical improvement but remains prone to defensive lapses, as evidenced by their recent 2-1 defeat at Real Madrid.

Conversely, Mallorca arrives with significant momentum under their own recent managerial appointment, Martín Demichelis. Occupying 15th place, Mallorca has demonstrated a sharp turnaround in form, highlighted by back-to-back victories, including a dominant 3-0 win against Rayo Vallecano and a clinical 2-1 triumph over Real Madrid. Their talisman, Vedat Muriqi, is in sensational form, recently breaking the club’s La Liga goalscoring record, making him the definitive danger man.

Key Team News: Alaves continues to manage fitness concerns, with Abderrahman Rebbach sidelined due to disciplinary suspension. Mallorca enters the match with concerns regarding Zito Luvumbo (hamstring) and long-term absentees Mateo Joseph and Antonio Raíllo. However, the return of Martin Valjent from suspension provides a timely boost to the visitors' defensive stability.

Tactical Analysis & Key Battles

Expect a high-stakes, nervy encounter where Alaves will likely try to utilize their home advantage to control the tempo, but Demichelis has instilled a more vertical and clinical approach in Mallorca. The visitors are currently playing with high confidence, looking to exploit space quickly behind the Alaves defensive line.

• The Muriqi Factor: The primary tactical battle will be Alaves' ability to contain Vedat Muriqi. If the Alaves center-backs cannot neutralize his physical presence and aerial threat, he will likely dictate the outcome.
• Midfield Control: Samu Costa and Sergi Darder have been instrumental in Mallorca’s recent resurgence. Alaves must disrupt this pairing in the center of the park to prevent them from feeding Muriqi.
• Transition Threat: Alaves must avoid getting caught high up the pitch; Mallorca’s recent form shows they are lethal on the break. Expect Flores to instruct a slightly more cautious, compact defensive block to mitigate this risk.