NK Varazdin vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Prediction May 9 2026 — HNL

Bookmakers often overestimate the offensive output in these late-season HNL clashes. Given that both teams have shown signs of defensive fatigue and historical data points to tight, low-scoring affairs, the value lies in a conservative market rather than a result-based prediction.

Match Preview & Form Guide

As we approach the final stages of the 2025/2026 SuperSport HNL season, this encounter between NK Varaždin and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb on May 9, 2026, carries significant weight for the mid-table battle. Varaždin, currently sitting in 3rd place with 47 points, is looking to stabilize their position in the European qualifying spots. In contrast, Lokomotiva Zagreb occupies 5th place with 41 points and enters this fixture following a disappointing 0-3 home defeat to Rijeka.

Varaždin's recent form has been patchy; under manager Nikola Šafarić, they have shown grit but struggled for consistency in their last five outings (W-W-W-L-L), suffering recent losses against title-chasers Dinamo Zagreb and Hajduk Split. Lokomotiva, managed by Nikica Jelavić, has also faced challenges with defensive stability, conceding three times in their last outing, which snapped a decent unbeaten run. With little room for error as the season concludes, both managers will demand a disciplined approach to avoid another late-season slip-up.

Tactical Analysis & Key Battles

Expect Nikola Šafarić’s side to utilize their preferred 4-2-3-1 formation, focusing on transitions through their creative hub, Aleksa Latković. Varaždin has been relatively efficient at the Stadion Anđelko Herjavec, and they are likely to attempt to control the tempo to stifle Lokomotiva’s counter-attacks.

Lokomotiva will likely play with a more compact defensive block, looking to exploit spaces left by Varaždin’s full-backs. The key battle will be in the midfield, where Varaždin’s ability to win the second ball against Lokomotiva’s physical unit will dictate which team controls the final third. Keep an eye on the duel between Varaždin striker Ivan Mamut and the Lokomotiva defensive line; if Mamut finds space, the visitors could be in for a long afternoon.